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Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Newcastle United (Хозяева)
Прогноз 73.30%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.98%
Преимущество -3.04%
Kelly -12.83%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.31
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.46%73.11%73.26%77.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.181.261.281.3184.75%79.25%78.13%76.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
West Bromwich Albion (Гости)
Прогноз 10.57%9.46справедливый коэффициент
EV +21.51%
Преимущество +1.87%
Kelly +2.05%
Рост +0.441%
при максимальном коэффициенте 11.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.40%10.56%10.64%12.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.259.219.1611.5013.79%10.86%10.92%8.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 16.13%6.20справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.90%
Преимущество +1.32%
Kelly +1.55%
Рост +0.138%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.31%16.33%16.10%19.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.785.806.7520.83%17.31%17.24%14.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Newcastle United (Хозяева): 73.30%; West Bromwich Albion (Гости): 10.57%; Ничья: 16.13%. Для исхода «West Bromwich Albion (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 9.46. 23 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 11.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +21.51%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138% | 3.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138% | 3.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.27%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV +3.02%E +0.309%K +0.345%G +0.010% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.06%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +1.43%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.91%EV -2.39%E -0.395%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -2.27%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-26 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.79%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.16I 10.92%NM 10.39%EV -3.22%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.81%EV -2.87%E -0.477%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -9.11%E -7.34%K -37.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.52%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.46%EV -5.54%E -0.620%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 18:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -12.88%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-26 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.19%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.76%E -2.77%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.44%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -23.40%E -3.23%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.17% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |