Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-26 18:45 UTC

Score final : Newcastle United 3–2 West Bromwich Albion

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Newcastle United (Local)

Prévision 73.30%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -12.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.46%73.11%73.26%77.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.261.281.3184.75%79.25%78.13%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

West Bromwich Albion (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.57%9.46cote équitable
EV +21.51%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.441%

avec la cote maximale 11.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.40%10.56%10.64%12.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.259.219.1611.5013.79%10.86%10.92%8.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.13%6.20cote équitable
EV +8.90%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.138%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.31%16.33%16.10%19.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.785.806.7520.83%17.31%17.24%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Newcastle United (Local) : 73.30% ; West Bromwich Albion (Visiteur) : 10.57% ; Match nul : 16.13%. Pour West Bromwich Albion (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.46. 23 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.50, soit une espérance positive de +21.51%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138%3.5%2026-08-26 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138%3.5%2026-08-26 18:29
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:36
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:37
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-26 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-26 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-26 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.27%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV +3.02%E +0.309%K +0.345%G +0.010%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:09
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.06%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +1.43%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.91%EV -2.39%E -0.395%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-26 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-26 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-26 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-26 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-26 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -2.27%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.79%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.16I 10.92%NM 10.39%EV -3.22%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.81%EV -2.87%E -0.477%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:34
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:13
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:09
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -9.11%E -7.34%K -37.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.982%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 18:14
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-26 18:15
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.52%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.46%EV -5.54%E -0.620%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 18:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 18:14
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 18:23
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:15
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-26 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-26 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-26 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -12.88%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-26 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.19%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.76%E -2.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-26 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.44%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -23.40%E -3.23%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-26 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-08-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.17%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-08-26 18:40