Idioma:Español
Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newcastle United (Local)
Predicción 73.30%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -3.04%
Kelly -12.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.46%73.11%73.26%77.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.261.281.3184.75%79.25%78.13%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
West Bromwich Albion (Visitante)
Predicción 10.57%9.46momio equitativo
EV +21.51%
Ventaja +1.87%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.441%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.40%10.56%10.64%12.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.259.219.1611.5013.79%10.86%10.92%8.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 16.13%6.20momio equitativo
EV +8.90%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.138%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.31%16.33%16.10%19.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.785.806.7520.83%17.31%17.24%14.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Newcastle United (Local): 73.30%; West Bromwich Albion (Visitante): 10.57%; Empate: 16.13%. Para West Bromwich Albion (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.46. 23 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +21.51%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138% | 3.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138% | 3.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.27%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV +3.02%E +0.309%K +0.345%G +0.010% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.06%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +1.43%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.91%EV -2.39%E -0.395%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -2.27%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-26 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.79%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.16I 10.92%NM 10.39%EV -3.22%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.81%EV -2.87%E -0.477%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -9.11%E -7.34%K -37.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.52%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.46%EV -5.54%E -0.620%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 18:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -12.88%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-26 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.19%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.76%E -2.77%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.44%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -23.40%E -3.23%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.17% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |