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Manchester United v Brighton and Hove Albion
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Manchester United (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.75%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.68%
Преимущество -0.886%
Kelly -1.87%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.09%51.75%51.89%53.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.801.801.9060.61%55.58%55.56%52.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Brighton and Hove Albion (Гости)
Прогноз 24.72%4.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.13%
Преимущество -0.283%
Kelly -0.377%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.68%24.77%24.67%26.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.753.754.0028.57%26.68%26.67%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.54%4.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.15%
Преимущество -0.273%
Kelly -0.358%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.38%23.48%23.44%24.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.653.943.924.2027.40%25.39%25.48%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Manchester United (Хозяева): 51.75%; Brighton and Hove Albion (Гости): 24.72%; Ничья: 23.54%. Для исхода «Brighton and Hove Albion (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.05. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.00, математическое ожидание — -1.13%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.68%E -0.886%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -3.60%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -2.72%E -1.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.79%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.58%EV -2.61%E -0.663%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -4.68%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.23%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.23%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.34%E -3.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -2.61%E -0.663%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -3.73%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.60%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.89%E -4.43%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -8.93%E -5.07%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.49%E -3.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.49%E -3.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -11.00%E -6.39%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -14.09%E -3.86%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -14.62%E -8.86%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 0.6% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.4% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |