Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Manchester United v Brighton and Hove Albion

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC

Score final : Manchester United 2–3 Brighton and Hove Albion

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Manchester United (Local)

Prévision 51.75%1.93cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.886%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.09%51.75%51.89%53.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.801.801.9060.61%55.58%55.56%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Brighton and Hove Albion (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.72%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.283%
Kelly -0.377%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%24.77%24.67%26.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.753.754.0028.57%26.68%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.54%4.25cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.358%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.38%23.48%23.44%24.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.943.924.2027.40%25.39%25.48%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Manchester United (Local) : 51.75% ; Brighton and Hove Albion (Visiteur) : 24.72% ; Match nul : 23.54%. Pour Brighton and Hove Albion (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.05. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.00, pour une espérance de -1.13% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.68%E -0.886%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -3.60%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -2.72%E -1.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.79%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.58%EV -2.61%E -0.663%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -4.68%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-16 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.23%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-16 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.23%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-16 18:35
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 18:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.34%E -3.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -2.61%E -0.663%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -3.73%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.60%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 18:44
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 18:35
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.89%E -4.43%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 18:45
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -8.93%E -5.07%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 18:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.49%E -3.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-16 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.49%E -3.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -11.00%E -6.39%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -14.09%E -3.86%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -14.62%E -8.86%K -22.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.6%2026-09-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-09-16 18:56