StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Manchester United v Brighton and Hove Albion

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Manchester United 2–3 Brighton and Hove Albion

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Manchester United (Heim)

Prognose 51.75%1.93faire Quote
EV -1.68%
Vorteil -0.886%
Kelly -1.87%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.09%51.75%51.89%53.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.651.801.801.9060.61%55.58%55.56%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Brighton and Hove Albion (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.72%4.05faire Quote
EV -1.13%
Vorteil -0.283%
Kelly -0.377%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.68%24.77%24.67%26.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.753.754.0028.57%26.68%26.67%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.54%4.25faire Quote
EV -1.15%
Vorteil -0.273%
Kelly -0.358%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.38%23.48%23.44%24.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.653.943.924.2027.40%25.39%25.48%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Manchester United (Heim): 51.75%; Brighton and Hove Albion (Auswärts): 24.72%; Unentschieden: 23.54%. Für Brighton and Hove Albion (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.05. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 4.00, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.13%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.68%E -0.886%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -3.60%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -2.72%E -1.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.79%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.58%EV -2.61%E -0.663%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -4.68%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-16 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.23%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-16 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.23%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-16 18:35
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.13%E -0.283%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 18:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.34%E -3.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -2.61%E -0.663%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -3.73%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.60%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 18:44
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 18:35
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.89%E -4.43%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 18:45
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -8.93%E -5.07%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 18:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.44%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.49%E -3.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-16 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.49%E -3.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -11.00%E -6.39%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -14.09%E -3.86%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -14.62%E -8.86%K -22.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.6%2026-09-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-09-16 18:56