Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Manchester United v Brighton and Hove Albion

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Manchester United (Casa)

Previsione 52.42%1.91quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -4.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.19%52.26%52.47%53.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.761.761.8460.24%56.86%56.82%54.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Brighton and Hove Albion (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.92%4.18quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -0.770%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.26%24.23%23.84%26.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.893.904.0529.41%25.73%25.64%24.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.66%4.23quota equa
EV -1.09%
Vantaggio -0.262%
Kelly -0.344%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.41%23.51%23.69%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.893.904.1827.40%25.72%25.64%23.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Manchester United (Casa): 52.42%; Brighton and Hove Albion (Trasferta): 23.92%; Pareggio: 23.66%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.23. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.18, con un valore atteso del -1.09%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.54%EV -3.55%E -1.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.60%E -2.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -3.12%E -0.770%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.23%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.92%EV -4.60%E -2.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.47%EV -11.25%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.61%EV -1.09%E -0.262%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.70%E -3.76%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.22%E -4.08%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 15:50
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -7.75%E -4.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 17:15
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.09%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 15:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 13:59
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -18.67%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -9.32%E -5.39%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.09%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -9.32%E -5.39%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.09%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.32%E -5.39%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -11.94%E -7.11%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -11.94%E -7.11%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -11.94%E -7.11%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -11.94%E -7.11%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.88%E -3.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -12.99%E -7.82%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -15.08%E -4.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -13.63%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-03 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 14:00