Language:English
Ipswich Town v Arsenal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ipswich Town (Local)
Prediction 12.86%7.78fair odd
EV +22.18%
Edge +2.33%
Kelly +2.61%
Growth +0.579%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.12%12.97%12.73%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.597.509.5016.67%13.17%13.33%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arsenal (Visit)
Prediction 68.56%1.46fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.45%68.41%68.61%72.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.351.361.4483.33%74.20%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.58%5.38fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.67%18.62%18.66%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.3022.22%20.19%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ipswich Town (Local): 12.86%; Arsenal (Visit): 68.56%; Draw: 18.58%. For Ipswich Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.78. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.05%EV -10.18%E -7.77%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.15%EV -17.73%E -14.77%K -88.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.67%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.94%EV +2.12%E +0.267%K +0.305%G +0.006% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.87%EV -11.39%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.24%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.48%EV -3.96%E -0.765%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:36 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.46%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.85%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 18:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -19.62%E -3.14%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 18:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.85% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |