Idioma:Español
Ipswich Town v Arsenal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ipswich Town (Local)
Predicción 12.86%7.78momio equitativo
EV +22.18%
Ventaja +2.33%
Kelly +2.61%
Crecimiento +0.579%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.12%12.97%12.73%15.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.597.509.5016.67%13.17%13.33%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arsenal (Visitante)
Predicción 68.56%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.882%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.45%68.41%68.61%72.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.351.361.4483.33%74.20%73.53%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.58%5.38momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.291%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.67%18.62%18.66%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.955.005.3022.22%20.19%20.00%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ipswich Town (Local): 12.86%; Arsenal (Visitante): 68.56%; Empate: 18.58%. Para Ipswich Town (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.78. 22 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +22.18%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.05%EV -10.18%E -7.77%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.15%EV -17.73%E -14.77%K -88.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.67%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.94%EV +2.12%E +0.267%K +0.305%G +0.006% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.87%EV -11.39%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.24%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.48%EV -3.96%E -0.765%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:36 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.46%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.85%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 18:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -19.62%E -3.14%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 18:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.85% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |