Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ipswich Town v Arsenal

Początek: 2026-09-15 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ipswich Town 2–4 Arsenal

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ipswich Town (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 12.86%7.78kurs godziwy
EV +22.18%
Przewaga +2.33%
Kelly +2.61%
Wzrost +0.579%

przy maksymalnym kursie 9.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
10.12%12.97%12.73%15.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.007.597.509.5016.67%13.17%13.33%10.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arsenal (Goście)

Prognoza 68.56%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -1.27%
Przewaga -0.882%
Kelly -2.89%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.45%68.41%68.61%72.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.351.361.4483.33%74.20%73.53%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 18.58%5.38kurs godziwy
EV -1.54%
Przewaga -0.291%
Kelly -0.359%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.67%18.62%18.66%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.504.955.005.3022.22%20.19%20.00%18.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ipswich Town (Gospodarze): 12.86%; Arsenal (Goście): 68.56%; Remis: 18.58%. Dla wyniku Ipswich Town (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.78. 22 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 9.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +22.18%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:46
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:45
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:46
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:45
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:46
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.05%EV -10.18%E -7.77%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:45
Coolbet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:46
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:46
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.20I 83.33%NM 72.15%EV -17.73%E -14.77%K -88.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.67%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-15 18:46
Marathon Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:40
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:55
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:55
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:46
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 18:46
1xBet🎯7.94I 12.59%NM 11.94%EV +2.12%E +0.267%K +0.305%G +0.006%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.87%EV -11.39%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:50
Pinnacle🎯7.78I 12.85%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.24%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.48%EV -3.96%E -0.765%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:55
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:53
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:46
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:36
Fliff🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 12.46%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.85%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:48
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:50
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 18:30
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:46
NetBet (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:45
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:55
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 18:55
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:55
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:50
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -19.62%E -3.14%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:25
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 18:36
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 18:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-15 18:55
Matchbook◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%1.0%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%1.0%2026-09-15 18:55