StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ipswich Town v Arsenal

Matchstart: 2026-09-15 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Ipswich Town 2–4 Arsenal

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ipswich Town (Hemma)

Prognos 12.86%7.78rättvist odds
EV +22.18%
Fördel +2.33%
Kelly +2.61%
Tillväxt +0.579%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.12%12.97%12.73%15.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.007.597.509.5016.67%13.17%13.33%10.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Borta)

Prognos 68.56%1.46rättvist odds
EV -1.27%
Fördel -0.882%
Kelly -2.89%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.45%68.41%68.61%72.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.351.361.4483.33%74.20%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.58%5.38rättvist odds
EV -1.54%
Fördel -0.291%
Kelly -0.359%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.67%18.62%18.66%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.504.955.005.3022.22%20.19%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ipswich Town (Hemma): 12.86%; Arsenal (Borta): 68.56%; Oavgjort: 18.58%. För Ipswich Town (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.78. 22 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +22.18%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:46
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +22.18%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.579%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.54%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:45
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:46
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:45
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:46
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +15.75%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.310%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.05%EV -10.18%E -7.77%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:45
Coolbet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.52%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:46
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:46
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV +9.32%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.116%1.20I 83.33%NM 72.15%EV -17.73%E -14.77%K -88.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.67%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-15 18:46
Marathon Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.40%E -0.654%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:40
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:55
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:55
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:46
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV +2.89%E +0.361%K +0.413%G +0.012%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 18:46
1xBet🎯7.94I 12.59%NM 11.94%EV +2.12%E +0.267%K +0.305%G +0.006%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.87%EV -11.39%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:50
Pinnacle🎯7.78I 12.85%NM 12.28%EV +0.058%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.24%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.48%EV -3.96%E -0.765%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -2.90%E -0.384%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -5.26%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:55
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:53
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:46
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -3.54%E -0.472%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:36
Fliff🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 12.46%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.85%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.97%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:48
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.838%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.83%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:50
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -6.76%E -0.932%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 18:30
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:46
NetBet (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.69%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:45
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -9.97%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:55
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.19%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 18:55
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:55
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.55%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.40%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.40%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:50
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -19.62%E -3.14%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:25
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.47%E -0.471%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -1.27%E -0.882%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.11%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 18:36
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -22.83%E -3.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.76%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-15 18:55
Matchbook◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%1.0%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%1.0%2026-09-15 18:55