The School of Odds

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prediction 32.83%3.05fair odd
EV +0.460%
Edge +0.150%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.67%32.79%32.75%34.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.713.0640%37%37%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chesterfield FC (Visit)

Prediction 39.24%2.55fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.28%39.36%40.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.4547%43%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -0.892%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%27.94%27.90%29.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.353.5033%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 30.67%EV +0.460%E +0.150%K +0.223%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.58%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.05%EV -9.77%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 19:20
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.32%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 14:10
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -8.58%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 14:05
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 02:39
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -7.01%E -2.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 21:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:18
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 14:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 10:54
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -10.70%E -3.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.05%E -2.09%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 04:24
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -10.70%E -3.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.05%E -2.09%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 04:25
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.68%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 13:34
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -12.34%E -4.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -8.97%E -3.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -12.34%E -4.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -8.97%E -3.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 22:04
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -16.28%E -6.39%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.53%EV -17.93%E -7.17%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.99%EV -15.64%E -7.28%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -14.80%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 14:55