Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 34.42%2.91fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.43%34.49%34.49%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.632.8140.00%37.71%38.02%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 37.52%2.67fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.97%37.44%37.45%38.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.34%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%28.08%28.06%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.5032.26%30.51%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 34.42%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 37.52%; Draw: 28.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.92%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.69%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.72%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 07:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.70%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 12:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.83%E -5.03%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -12.23%E -4.79%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
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