StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Fleetwood Town 1–0 Chesterfield FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fleetwood Town (Hemma)

Prognos 34.42%2.91rättvist odds
EV -3.28%
Fördel -1.17%
Kelly -1.81%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.81

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.43%34.49%34.49%36.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.652.632.8140.00%37.71%38.02%35.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Borta)

Prognos 37.52%2.67rättvist odds
EV -2.45%
Fördel -0.942%
Kelly -1.53%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.97%37.44%37.45%38.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.34%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.06%3.56rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -0.512%
Kelly -0.717%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.06%28.08%28.06%29.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.283.303.5032.26%30.51%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fleetwood Town (Hemma): 34.42%; Chesterfield FC (Borta): 37.52%; Oavgjort: 28.06%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.56. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.50, med väntevärdet -1.79%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.92%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.69%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.72%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:39
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 07:00
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.70%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:44
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.83%E -5.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -12.23%E -4.79%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-08-08 13:55