Idioma:Español
Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.43%34.49%34.49%36.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.632.8140.00%37.71%38.02%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chesterfield FC (Visitante)
Predicción 37.52%2.67momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.942%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.97%37.44%37.45%38.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.34%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.512%
Kelly -0.717%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%28.08%28.06%29.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.283.303.5032.26%30.51%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fleetwood Town (Local): 34.42%; Chesterfield FC (Visitante): 37.52%; Empate: 28.06%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.50, con un valor esperado de -1.79%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.92%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.69%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.72%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 07:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.70%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 12:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.83%E -5.03%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -12.23%E -4.79%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |