La escuela de los momios

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Predicción 32.83%3.05momio equitativo
EV +0.460%
Ventaja +0.150%
Kelly +0.223%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.67%32.79%32.75%34.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.713.0640.00%36.62%36.90%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Predicción 39.24%2.55momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.28%39.36%40.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.352.4546.51%42.72%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.637%
Kelly -0.892%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.51%27.94%27.90%29.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.323.353.5032.79%30.15%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 30.67%EV +0.460%E +0.150%K +0.223%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.58%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.05%EV -9.77%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 19:20
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.32%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 14:10
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -8.58%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 14:05
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 02:39
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -7.01%E -2.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 21:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:18
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 14:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 10:54
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -10.70%E -3.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.05%E -2.09%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:39
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -10.70%E -3.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.05%E -2.09%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.68%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 13:34
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -12.34%E -4.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -8.97%E -3.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -12.34%E -4.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -8.97%E -3.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 22:04
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -16.28%E -6.39%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.53%EV -17.93%E -7.17%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.99%EV -15.64%E -7.28%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -14.80%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 23:30