Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Fleetwood Town 1–0 Chesterfield FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 34.42%2.91cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.43%34.49%34.49%36.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.632.8140.00%37.71%38.02%35.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.52%2.67cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.942%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.97%37.44%37.45%38.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.34%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.512%
Kelly -0.717%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.06%28.08%28.06%29.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.283.303.5032.26%30.51%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fleetwood Town (Local) : 34.42% ; Chesterfield FC (Visiteur) : 37.52% ; Match nul : 28.06%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.56. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.79% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.92%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.69%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.72%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:39
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 07:00
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.70%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:44
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.83%E -5.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -12.23%E -4.79%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-08-08 13:55