L’École des cotes

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 32.83%3.05cote équitable
EV +0.460%
Avantage +0.150%
Kelly +0.223%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.67%32.79%32.75%34.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.713.0640.00%36.62%36.90%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.24%2.55cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.28%39.36%40.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.352.4546.51%42.72%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.637%
Kelly -0.892%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.51%27.94%27.90%29.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.323.353.5032.79%30.15%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 30.67%EV +0.460%E +0.150%K +0.223%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.58%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.05%EV -9.77%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 19:20
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.32%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 14:10
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -8.58%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 14:05
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 02:39
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -7.01%E -2.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 21:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:18
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 14:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 10:54
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -10.70%E -3.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.05%E -2.09%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:39
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -10.70%E -3.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -5.05%E -2.09%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.68%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 13:34
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -12.34%E -4.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -8.97%E -3.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -12.34%E -4.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -8.97%E -3.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 22:04
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -16.28%E -6.39%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.53%EV -17.93%E -7.17%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.99%EV -15.64%E -7.28%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -14.80%E -4.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%7.1%2026-07-25 23:30