Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fleetwood Town v Chesterfield FC

Inizio: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Finale: Fleetwood Town 1–0 Chesterfield FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fleetwood Town (Casa)

Previsione 34.42%2.91quota equa
EV -3.28%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.43%34.49%34.49%36.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.652.632.8140.00%37.71%38.02%35.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.52%2.67quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -0.942%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.97%37.44%37.45%38.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.34%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.06%3.56quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.512%
Kelly -0.717%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.06%28.08%28.06%29.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.283.303.5032.26%30.51%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fleetwood Town (Casa): 34.42%; Chesterfield FC (Trasferta): 37.52%; Pareggio: 28.06%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.56. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.50, con un valore atteso del -1.79%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.92%EV -3.28%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.69%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.72%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:39
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 07:00
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.70%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.76%EV -10.16%E -3.89%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -8.83%E -3.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:44
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.83%E -5.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -12.23%E -4.79%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.83%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-08-08 13:55