Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 51.15%1.96fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.14%51.07%51.26%52.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.21%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Accrington Stanley (Visit)
Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV -0.933%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.19%23.09%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.933.904.2728.17%25.47%25.64%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%25.74%25.65%26.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.7729.41%27.86%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 51.15%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 23.20%; Draw: 25.65%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.27, with an expected value of -0.933%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 06:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 04:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 04:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV -0.933%E -0.218%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -11.37%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -3.29%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-26 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-29 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 14:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -11.52%E -6.66%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -12.03%E -6.99%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.32%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-28 01:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -13.05%E -7.68%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -17.64%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.99%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-07-28 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
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