The School of Odds

Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

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Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.08%51.02%50.96%52.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8859%56%56%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Accrington Stanley (Visit)

Prediction 23.28%4.30fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.30%23.33%24.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.863.804.2029%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%25.69%25.71%26.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.553.7531%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 04:04
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 04:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 02:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.49%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.47%EV -2.92%E -0.699%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.20%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.20%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 17:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:49
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.39%EV -2.92%E -0.699%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -6.82%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 14:09
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.22%E -0.528%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 01:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 14:29
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 14:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 14:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 02:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 02:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 02:54
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 14:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -9.64%E -5.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.22%E -0.528%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 14:39
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.64%E -5.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.67%EV -10.15%E -5.77%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.62%EV -17.35%E -4.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.66%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.528%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-15 08:44
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.66%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.66%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 18:20
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.05%EV -12.71%E -7.43%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.28%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-25 07:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.43%EV -13.22%E -7.77%K -18.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.84%E -6.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.86%EV -16.57%E -5.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-25 13:20