Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Odds

1.7357.80%Min

1.7955.98%Mean

1.7856.18%Median

1.8254.95%Max

Consensus probabilities

50.14%1.994Min

52.64%1.900Max

51.13%1.956Mean

50.92%1.964Median

50.92%1.964IQM

51.28%1.950Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.82 under the IQM model: 50.92%

EV -7.33%Edge -4.03%Kelly -8.94%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Accrington Stanley (Visit)

Odds

3.7027.03%Min

3.8126.25%Mean

3.7027.03%Median

4.2023.81%Max

Consensus probabilities

22.18%4.508Min

24.27%4.121Max

23.47%4.261Mean

23.73%4.213Median

23.73%4.213IQM

23.34%4.285Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 23.73%

EV -0.317%Edge -0.076%Kelly -0.099%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.5028.57%Min

3.5927.87%Mean

3.5528.17%Median

3.7526.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

24.65%4.057Min

25.79%3.878Max

25.40%3.936Mean

25.35%3.945Median

25.35%3.945IQM

25.38%3.939Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.75 under the IQM model: 25.35%

EV -4.95%Edge -1.32%Kelly -1.80%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Crewe Alexandra (Local) ▼	Accrington Stanley (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	1.85I 54.05% NM 52.06%EV -5.80% E -3.14% K -6.83% G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81% NM 22.93%EV -0.317% E -0.076% K -0.099% G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97% NM 25.01%EV -2.41% E -0.626% K -0.846% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)	1.82I 54.95% NM 51.83%EV -7.33% E -4.03% K -8.94% G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39% NM 23.01%EV -2.69% E -0.656% K -0.868% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 25.16%EV -4.95% E -1.32% K -1.80% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.05%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	4.08I 24.51% NM 22.96%EV -3.17% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.98%EV -4.95% E -1.32% K -1.80% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-26 18:39
SportsBet	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.93%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39% NM 22.80%EV -2.69% E -0.656% K -0.868% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.27%EV -6.21% E -1.68% K -2.30% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.64%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00% NM 23.24%EV -5.06% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.12%EV -6.21% E -1.68% K -2.30% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.64%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00% NM 23.24%EV -5.06% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.12%EV -6.21% E -1.68% K -2.30% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-26 14:29
LeoVegas	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.35%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97% NM 24.01%EV -8.62% E -2.24% K -3.03% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.65%EV -4.95% E -1.32% K -1.80% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-02 10:20
William Hill	1.80I 55.56% NM 50.14%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.07%EV -11.00% E -2.93% K -4.00% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.79%EV -11.28% E -3.22% K -4.51% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	1.80I 55.56% NM 50.14%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.07%EV -11.00% E -2.93% K -4.00% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.79%EV -11.28% E -3.22% K -4.51% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	1.80I 55.56% NM 50.14%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.07%EV -11.00% E -2.93% K -4.00% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.79%EV -11.28% E -3.22% K -4.51% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	1.80I 55.56% NM 50.14%EV -8.35% E -4.64% K -10.43% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.07%EV -11.00% E -2.93% K -4.00% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.79%EV -11.28% E -3.22% K -4.51% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.44%EV -9.37% E -5.26% K -12.01% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.27%EV -12.18% E -3.29% K -4.51% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.29%EV -10.01% E -2.82% K -3.93% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:39
FanDuel	1.77I 56.50% NM 52.64%EV -9.87% E -5.58% K -12.82% G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81% NM 22.18%EV -0.317% E -0.076% K -0.099% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.18%EV -6.21% E -1.68% K -2.30% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-06-26 14:39
BoyleSports	1.73I 57.80% NM 51.29%EV -11.91% E -6.89% K -16.32% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 23.35%EV -9.81% E -2.58% K -3.50% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.35%EV -11.28% E -3.22% K -4.51% G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-06-27 15:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Crewe Alexandra (Local)	Accrington Stanley (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39