Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Crewe Alexandra 2–1 Accrington Stanley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 51.15%1.96cote équitable
EV -4.36%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -5.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.14%51.07%51.26%52.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.21%54.95%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV -0.933%
Avantage -0.218%
Kelly -0.285%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.19%23.09%25.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.933.904.2728.17%25.47%25.64%23.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -0.873%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.77%25.74%25.65%26.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.593.603.7729.41%27.86%27.78%26.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Crewe Alexandra (Local) : 51.15% ; Accrington Stanley (Visiteur) : 23.20% ; Match nul : 25.65%. Pour Accrington Stanley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.31. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.27, pour une espérance de -0.933% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:09
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:45
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 06:25
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 04:15
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 07:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 04:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 04:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV -0.933%E -0.218%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:30
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -11.37%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -3.29%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:09
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:05
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 04:15
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 04:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 04:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 04:15
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 06:40
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:25
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 13:05
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:29
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 09:30
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-29 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-05 14:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -11.52%E -6.66%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -12.03%E -6.99%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.32%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-28 01:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -13.05%E -7.68%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -17.64%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.99%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-28 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-08-08 13:55