Idioma:Español
Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Predicción 51.15%1.96momio equitativo
EV -4.36%
Ventaja -2.33%
Kelly -5.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.14%51.07%51.26%52.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.21%54.95%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Accrington Stanley (Visitante)
Predicción 23.20%4.31momio equitativo
EV -0.933%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.285%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%23.19%23.09%25.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.933.904.2728.17%25.47%25.64%23.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.65%3.90momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -0.873%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.77%25.74%25.65%26.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.593.603.7729.41%27.86%27.78%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 51.15%; Accrington Stanley (Visitante): 23.20%; Empate: 25.65%. Para Accrington Stanley (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.31. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.27, con un valor esperado de -0.933%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 06:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 04:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 04:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV -0.933%E -0.218%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -11.37%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -3.29%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-26 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-29 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 14:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -11.52%E -6.66%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -12.03%E -6.99%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.32%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-28 01:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -13.05%E -7.68%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -17.64%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.99%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-07-28 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |