La escuela de los momios

Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Predicción 51.05%1.96momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -4.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.08%51.02%50.96%52.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.801.8858.82%55.74%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Accrington Stanley (Visitante)

Predicción 23.28%4.30momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.528%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%23.30%23.33%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.863.804.2029.41%25.92%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.67%3.90momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -0.997%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.97%25.69%25.71%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.563.553.7530.77%28.05%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 04:04
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 04:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 02:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.49%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.47%EV -2.92%E -0.699%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.20%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.20%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 17:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:49
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.39%EV -2.92%E -0.699%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -6.82%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 14:09
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.22%E -0.528%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 01:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 14:29
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 14:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 14:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 02:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 02:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 02:54
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.13%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.86%E -3.75%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 14:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -9.64%E -5.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.22%E -0.528%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 14:39
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.64%E -5.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.67%EV -10.15%E -5.77%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.62%EV -17.35%E -4.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.66%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.528%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-15 08:44
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.66%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.66%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 18:20
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.05%EV -12.71%E -7.43%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.28%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-25 07:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.43%EV -13.22%E -7.77%K -18.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.84%E -6.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.86%EV -16.57%E -5.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%6.7%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%6.7%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%6.7%2026-07-25 22:30