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Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Crewe Alexandra (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.15%1.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.36%
Преимущество -2.33%
Kelly -5.01%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.87
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.14%51.07%51.26%52.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.21%54.95%53.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Accrington Stanley (Гости)
Прогноз 23.20%4.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.933%
Преимущество -0.218%
Kelly -0.285%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.27
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.18%23.19%23.09%25.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.553.933.904.2728.17%25.47%25.64%23.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.65%3.90справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.29%
Преимущество -0.873%
Kelly -1.19%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.77%25.74%25.65%26.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.593.603.7729.41%27.86%27.78%26.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Crewe Alexandra (Хозяева): 51.15%; Accrington Stanley (Гости): 23.20%; Ничья: 25.65%. Для исхода «Accrington Stanley (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.31. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.27, математическое ожидание — -0.933%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 06:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 04:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 04:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV -0.933%E -0.218%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -11.37%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -3.29%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-26 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-29 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.49%E -6.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 14:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -11.52%E -6.66%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -12.03%E -6.99%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.32%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-28 01:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -13.05%E -7.68%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -17.64%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.99%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-07-28 01:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |