默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Coventry City v Aston Villa

开赛时间: 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Coventry City 1–3 Aston Villa

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Coventry City (主队)

预测 27.69%3.61公平赔率
EV +3.83%
优势 +1.02%
Kelly +1.39%
增长率 +0.053%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.32%27.67%27.62%29.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.353.303.7532.26%29.83%30.30%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Aston Villa (客队)

预测 46.02%2.17公平赔率
EV -1.97%
优势 -0.925%
Kelly -1.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
44.59%46.08%46.05%47.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.012.002.1353.19%49.87%50.00%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.29%3.80公平赔率
EV +3.84%
优势 +0.972%
Kelly +1.30%
增长率 +0.050%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
24.75%26.25%26.33%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.88%27.78%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Coventry City (主队):27.69%;Aston Villa (客队):46.02%;平局:26.29%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.80。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.95,对应+3.84%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV +3.83%E +1.02%K +1.39%G +0.053%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.71%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.47%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050%2.3%2026-09-16 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050%2.3%2026-09-16 18:56
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.43%EV -2.26%E -0.640%K -0.893%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.89%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -4.57%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.54%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.94%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.97%E -0.925%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 18:25
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:20
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.105%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:50
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:55
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:55
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:54
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -8.87%E -4.48%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 18:50
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.25%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 18:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:55
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:56
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:26
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:25
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 18:52
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -13.48%E -7.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 18:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 18:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-16 18:56
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-16 18:55