Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coventry City v Aston Villa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC

Score final : Coventry City 1–3 Aston Villa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coventry City (Local)

Prévision 27.69%3.61cote équitable
EV +3.83%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.32%27.67%27.62%29.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.303.7532.26%29.83%30.30%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aston Villa (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.02%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.925%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%46.08%46.05%47.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.012.002.1353.19%49.87%50.00%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.29%3.80cote équitable
EV +3.84%
Avantage +0.972%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%26.25%26.33%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.88%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Coventry City (Local) : 27.69% ; Aston Villa (Visiteur) : 46.02% ; Match nul : 26.29%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.95, soit une espérance positive de +3.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV +3.83%E +1.02%K +1.39%G +0.053%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.71%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.47%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050%2.3%2026-09-16 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050%2.3%2026-09-16 18:56
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.43%EV -2.26%E -0.640%K -0.893%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.89%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -4.57%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.54%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.94%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.97%E -0.925%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 18:25
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:20
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.105%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:50
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:55
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:55
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:54
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -8.87%E -4.48%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 18:50
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.25%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 18:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:55
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:56
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:26
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:25
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 18:52
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -13.48%E -7.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 18:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-16 18:56
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-16 18:55