Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coventry City v Aston Villa

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coventry City (Local)

Prévision 31.31%3.19cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -0.953%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.76%31.45%31.23%32.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.943.003.1037.74%33.96%33.33%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aston Villa (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.00%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.22%41.94%41.98%42.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.232.3148.78%45.21%44.94%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.69%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.98%26.61%26.79%27.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.403.6031.25%29.15%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Coventry City (Local) : 31.31% ; Aston Villa (Visiteur) : 42.00% ; Match nul : 26.69%. Pour Coventry City (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.19. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.10, pour une espérance de -2.95% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -2.95%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.05%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.90%EV -4.44%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.31%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.75%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -4.44%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 18:59
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.76%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.10%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 15:50
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 17:15
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 14:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 14:05
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 16:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:34
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:34
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.79%E -5.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 16:39
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.34%E -4.41%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.48%E -5.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -13.89%E -6.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -17.04%E -6.43%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -13.89%E -6.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-03 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 14:00