Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coventry City v Aston Villa

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coventry City (Local)

Predicción 31.31%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -0.953%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.76%31.45%31.23%32.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.943.003.1037.74%33.96%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Aston Villa (Visitante)

Predicción 42.00%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.22%41.94%41.98%42.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.232.3148.78%45.21%44.94%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.98%26.61%26.79%27.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.403.6031.25%29.15%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Coventry City (Local): 31.31%; Aston Villa (Visitante): 42.00%; Empate: 26.69%. Para Coventry City (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.10, con un valor esperado de -2.95%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -2.95%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.05%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.90%EV -4.44%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.31%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.75%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -4.44%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 18:59
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.76%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.10%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 15:50
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 17:15
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 14:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 14:05
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 16:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:34
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:34
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.79%E -5.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.78%E -3.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 16:39
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.34%E -4.41%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.69%E -4.51%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.48%E -5.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -13.89%E -6.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -17.04%E -6.43%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -13.89%E -6.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-03 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 14:00