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Coventry City v Aston Villa
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Coventry City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 27.69%3.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.83%
Преимущество +1.02%
Kelly +1.39%
Рост +0.053%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.32%27.67%27.62%29.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.353.303.7532.26%29.83%30.30%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Aston Villa (Гости)
Прогноз 46.02%2.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.97%
Преимущество -0.925%
Kelly -1.74%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.13
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.59%46.08%46.05%47.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.882.012.002.1353.19%49.87%50.00%46.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.29%3.80справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.84%
Преимущество +0.972%
Kelly +1.30%
Рост +0.050%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.75%26.25%26.33%27.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.88%27.78%25.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Coventry City (Хозяева): 27.69%; Aston Villa (Гости): 46.02%; Ничья: 26.29%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.80. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.95, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.84%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV +3.83%E +1.02%K +1.39%G +0.053% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.71%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.47%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.43%EV -2.26%E -0.640%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.89%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -4.57%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.54%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.94%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.97%E -0.925%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.105%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.24%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -8.87%E -4.48%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.25%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 18:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-16 18:52 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -13.48%E -7.17%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 18:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |