StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Coventry City v Aston Villa

Matchstart: 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Coventry City 1–3 Aston Villa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Coventry City (Hemma)

Prognos 27.69%3.61rättvist odds
EV +3.83%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +1.39%
Tillväxt +0.053%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.32%27.67%27.62%29.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.353.303.7532.26%29.83%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Aston Villa (Borta)

Prognos 46.02%2.17rättvist odds
EV -1.97%
Fördel -0.925%
Kelly -1.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.59%46.08%46.05%47.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.882.012.002.1353.19%49.87%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.29%3.80rättvist odds
EV +3.84%
Fördel +0.972%
Kelly +1.30%
Tillväxt +0.050%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.75%26.25%26.33%27.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.88%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Coventry City (Hemma): 27.69%; Aston Villa (Borta): 46.02%; Oavgjort: 26.29%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.80. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.95, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.84%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV +3.83%E +1.02%K +1.39%G +0.053%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.71%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.47%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.41%E -4.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.321%E -0.089%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050%2.3%2026-09-16 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%EV -1.71%E -0.480%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +3.84%E +0.972%K +1.30%G +0.050%2.3%2026-09-16 18:56
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.43%EV -2.26%E -0.640%K -0.893%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.89%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -4.57%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.54%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.94%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.97%E -0.925%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 18:25
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:20
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.105%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:55
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:50
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:55
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:55
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.79%E -5.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:56
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.73%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 18:50
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:54
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:50
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.74%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -1.42%E -0.378%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -8.87%E -4.48%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 18:50
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -10.72%E -5.52%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.25%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 18:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:55
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:56
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:26
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:25
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -11.18%E -5.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 18:52
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -13.48%E -7.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 18:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 18:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-16 18:56
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-16 18:55