语言:简体中文
Cardiff City v Swindon Town
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cardiff City (主队)
预测 72.11%1.39公平赔率
EV -4.10%
优势 -3.08%
Kelly -12.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
69.63%71.98%72.02%74.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.291.301.3382.64%77.48%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
Swindon Town (客队)
预测 11.08%9.02公平赔率
EV +5.85%
优势 +0.613%
Kelly +0.685%
增长率 +0.040%
假设最高赔率为 9.55
博彩公司预测分布
9.92%11.09%11.08%12.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.168.009.5514.29%12.25%12.50%10.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.81%5.95公平赔率
EV +0.844%
优势 +0.141%
Kelly +0.169%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 6.00
博彩公司预测分布
15.37%16.93%16.89%19.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.425.506.0021.05%18.46%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cardiff City (主队)：72.11%；Swindon Town (客队)：11.08%；平局：16.81%。 对于“Swindon Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.02。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.55，对应+5.85%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.02%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.92%EV +5.85%E +0.613%K +0.685%G +0.040% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.36%E -0.584%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.36%E -0.584%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV +3.08%E +0.331%K +0.371%G +0.011% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.04%E -0.892%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -0.243%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.20%E -0.737%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.46%E -0.280%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -16.80%E -3.39%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.46%E -0.280%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -16.80%E -3.39%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.51%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.67%EV -3.01%E -0.344%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV +0.844%E +0.141%K +0.169%G +0.001% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.02%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.17%EV -7.23%E -0.863%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 15.81%EV -0.669%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -8.56%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -12.75%E -10.54%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -8.56%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.23%EV -10.22%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.92%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.23%EV -10.22%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.92%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -20.17%E -4.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -14.10%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -14.10%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.10%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -12.60%E -2.42%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.01%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -19.64%E -2.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -5.88%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.59%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -22.41%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.44% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.59% | 0.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |