Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cardiff City v Swindon Town

Początek: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cardiff City 3–2 Swindon Town

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cardiff City (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 72.11%1.39kurs godziwy
EV -4.10%
Przewaga -3.08%
Kelly -12.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.63%71.98%72.02%74.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.291.301.3382.64%77.48%76.92%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Swindon Town (Goście)

Prognoza 11.08%9.02kurs godziwy
EV +5.85%
Przewaga +0.613%
Kelly +0.685%
Wzrost +0.040%

przy maksymalnym kursie 9.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.92%11.09%11.08%12.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.008.168.009.5514.29%12.25%12.50%10.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 16.81%5.95kurs godziwy
EV +0.844%
Przewaga +0.141%
Kelly +0.169%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.37%16.93%16.89%19.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.755.425.506.0021.05%18.46%18.18%16.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cardiff City (Gospodarze): 72.11%; Swindon Town (Goście): 11.08%; Remis: 16.81%. Dla wyniku Swindon Town (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 9.02. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 9.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.85%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.02%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.92%EV +5.85%E +0.613%K +0.685%G +0.040%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:45
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.36%E -0.584%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:40
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.36%E -0.584%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV +3.08%E +0.331%K +0.371%G +0.011%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.04%E -0.892%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -0.243%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.20%E -0.737%K -0.893%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.46%E -0.280%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -16.80%E -3.39%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:39
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.46%E -0.280%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -16.80%E -3.39%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.51%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.67%EV -3.01%E -0.344%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:39
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 13:34
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:34
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV +0.844%E +0.141%K +0.169%G +0.001%8.4%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:19
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:29
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.02%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.37I 11.95%NM 11.17%EV -7.23%E -0.863%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 15.81%EV -0.669%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:53
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -8.56%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -12.75%E -10.54%K -60.71%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -8.56%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.23%EV -10.22%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.92%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.23%EV -10.22%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.92%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:30
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:40
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -20.17%E -4.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -14.10%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:30
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -14.10%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:29
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:09
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.10%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -12.60%E -2.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:34
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.01%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -19.64%E -2.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -5.88%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.59%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -22.41%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 13:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.59%0.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-08-08 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-08-08 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-08-08 13:40