L’École des cotes

Cardiff City v Swindon Town

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cardiff City (Local)

Prévision 64.49%1.55cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -3.08%
Kelly -9.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.82%64.34%64.47%65.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.431.431.4874.07%70.06%69.93%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Swindon Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.97%6.68cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.495%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.04%15.02%15.00%17.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.916.006.5020.41%16.91%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.54%4.87cote équitable
EV -5.50%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%20.65%20.52%21.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.504.6025.00%22.56%22.22%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -6.46%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.46%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.61%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.46%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.61%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -4.22%E -0.659%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -12.69%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:39
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -4.22%E -0.659%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -12.69%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:39
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.50%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 02:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.20%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 09:44
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.22%E -0.659%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.50%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 00:15
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 64.61%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 14.72%EV -5.41%E -0.857%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 14:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.20%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.61%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 04:50
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 10:39
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.20%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.72%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 04:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.20%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.72%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 04:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.20%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.72%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 04:54
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.22%E -0.659%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.50%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 00:10
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.20%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 14:32
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.18%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 14:05
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.50%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 14:39
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -14.69%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.72%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -14.69%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.72%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.50%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-15 08:44
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 14:29
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.61%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 14:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -2.72%E -0.418%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.61%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 14:10
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.20%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.55%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 14:35
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.87%EV -10.36%E -7.45%K -26.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -22.18%E -4.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.32%EV -11.66%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-23 09:44
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -12.29%E -9.04%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -17.69%E -3.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -11.05%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-20 12:39
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.82%EV -12.29%E -9.04%K -34.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.16%EV -26.67%E -5.44%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -17.83%E -4.46%K -5.94%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-23 09:44
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.82%EV -12.94%E -9.58%K -36.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -11.70%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -11.66%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 09:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%9.2%2026-07-26 03:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%9.2%2026-07-26 04:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%9.2%2026-07-26 04:05