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Cardiff City v Swindon Town
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cardiff City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 72.11%1.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.10%
Преимущество -3.08%
Kelly -12.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.63%71.98%72.02%74.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.211.291.301.3382.64%77.48%76.92%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Swindon Town (Гости)
Прогноз 11.08%9.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.85%
Преимущество +0.613%
Kelly +0.685%
Рост +0.040%
при максимальном коэффициенте 9.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.92%11.09%11.08%12.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.008.168.009.5514.29%12.25%12.50%10.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 16.81%5.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.844%
Преимущество +0.141%
Kelly +0.169%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.37%16.93%16.89%19.06%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.755.425.506.0021.05%18.46%18.18%16.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cardiff City (Хозяева): 72.11%; Swindon Town (Гости): 11.08%; Ничья: 16.81%. Для исхода «Swindon Town (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 9.02. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.55, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.85%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.02%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.92%EV +5.85%E +0.613%K +0.685%G +0.040% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.36%E -0.584%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.36%E -0.584%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV +3.08%E +0.331%K +0.371%G +0.011% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.04%E -0.892%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -0.243%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.20%E -0.737%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.46%E -0.280%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -16.80%E -3.39%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.46%E -0.280%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -16.80%E -3.39%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.51%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.67%EV -3.01%E -0.344%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV +0.844%E +0.141%K +0.169%G +0.001% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.79%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.96%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.02%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.17%EV -7.23%E -0.863%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 15.81%EV -0.669%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -8.56%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -12.75%E -10.54%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -8.56%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.23%EV -10.22%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.92%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.61%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.23%EV -10.22%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.92%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.10%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -0.837%E -0.142%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -20.17%E -4.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -14.10%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -14.10%E -1.82%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.56%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.10%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -12.60%E -2.42%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -11.76%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.01%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -19.64%E -2.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -5.88%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.59%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -22.41%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -9.24%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.44% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.59% | 0.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |