Language:English
Bristol City v Walsall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol City (Local)
Prediction 70.78%1.41fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -12.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.41%70.68%70.75%72.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3580.00%76.40%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Walsall (Visit)
Prediction 11.44%8.74fair odd
EV +8.68%
Edge +0.913%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.97%11.41%11.42%12.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.018.009.5014.29%12.48%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.78%5.62fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.494%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.02%17.91%17.83%20.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.175.255.5022.22%19.36%19.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol City (Local): 70.78%; Walsall (Visit): 11.44%; Draw: 17.78%. For Walsall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.74. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +8.68%E +0.913%K +1.02%G +0.089% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.22%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +8.68%E +0.913%K +1.02%G +0.089% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.22%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.24%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV +5.82%E +0.629%K +0.705%G +0.041% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.25%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.27%EV +3.98%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.020% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -10.22%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.96%E +0.328%K +0.369%G +0.011% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.57%E -4.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +0.096%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -1.62%E -0.188%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -9.33%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.22%EV -6.57%E -4.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -5.62%E -0.682%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 18:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -9.40%E -7.34%K -33.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -20.00%E -4.44%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.36%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.22%E -3.96%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.75%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.99%EV -10.20%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.27%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.75%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.99%EV -10.20%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.27%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -5.15%E -3.84%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.08%EV -10.43%E -1.33%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.33%EV -2.93%E -0.537%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.86%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.43%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.36%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -17.06%E -2.35%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.12%EV -5.78%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -9.40%E -7.34%K -33.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.92%E -2.85%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -9.33%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |