La escuela de los momios

Bristol City v Walsall

2026-08-06 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bristol City (Local)

Predicción 68.09%1.47momio equitativo
EV -4.67%
Ventaja -3.34%
Kelly -11.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.99%68.20%67.94%71.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.331.331.4078.74%75.24%75.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 13.03%7.67momio equitativo
EV +5.56%
Ventaja +0.686%
Kelly +0.783%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.52%13.06%13.08%15.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.507.167.508.1018.18%13.96%13.33%12.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.88%5.30momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.356%
Kelly +0.438%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.74%18.73%18.98%20.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.954.805.4023.26%20.18%20.83%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV +5.56%E +0.686%K +0.783%G +0.043%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 15:05
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.76%E -6.53%K -25.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +4.25%E +0.532%K +0.608%G +0.026%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV +2.95%E +0.374%K +0.428%G +0.013%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 02:00
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV +2.95%E +0.374%K +0.428%G +0.013%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 02:49
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 19:40
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 19:40
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 19:40
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 10:20
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 10:19
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 10:18
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -10.12%E -7.66%K -31.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +0.038%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 09:08
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 07:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 19:40
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.48%E -8.83%K -38.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 10:20
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 68.69%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.58%EV -10.99%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.73%EV -1.28%E -0.245%K -0.303%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 18:10
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.76%E -6.53%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -12.04%E -1.78%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 18:46
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:35
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 08:20
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.75%EV -12.16%E -9.43%K -41.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.66%EV -16.60%E -2.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -11.29%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.38%EV -19.20%E -3.10%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.59%EV -14.12%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 07:55
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.38%EV -19.20%E -3.10%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.59%EV -14.12%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 07:55
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -21.81%E -3.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -0.906%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.75%EV -10.12%E -7.66%K -31.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.96%EV -24.42%E -4.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-24 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.99%EV -11.48%E -8.83%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -28.33%E -5.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.65%EV -18.84%E -4.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-24 08:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%8.4%2026-07-25 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%8.4%2026-07-25 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%8.4%2026-07-25 14:00