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Bristol City v Walsall
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Bristol City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.78%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.44%
Преимущество -3.29%
Kelly -12.70%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.41%70.68%70.75%72.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.311.301.3580.00%76.40%76.92%74.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Walsall (Гости)
Прогноз 11.44%8.74справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.68%
Преимущество +0.913%
Kelly +1.02%
Рост +0.089%
при максимальном коэффициенте 9.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.97%11.41%11.42%12.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.008.018.009.5014.29%12.48%12.50%10.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 17.78%5.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.22%
Преимущество -0.404%
Kelly -0.494%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.02%17.91%17.83%20.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.175.255.5022.22%19.36%19.05%18.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Bristol City (Хозяева): 70.78%; Walsall (Гости): 11.44%; Ничья: 17.78%. Для исхода «Walsall (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.74. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.68%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +8.68%E +0.913%K +1.02%G +0.089% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.22%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +8.68%E +0.913%K +1.02%G +0.089% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.22%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.24%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV +5.82%E +0.629%K +0.705%G +0.041% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.25%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.27%EV +3.98%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.020% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -10.22%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.96%E +0.328%K +0.369%G +0.011% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.57%E -4.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +0.096%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -1.62%E -0.188%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -9.33%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.22%EV -6.57%E -4.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -5.62%E -0.682%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 18:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -9.40%E -7.34%K -33.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -20.00%E -4.44%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.36%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.22%E -3.96%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.75%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.99%EV -10.20%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.27%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.75%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.99%EV -10.20%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.27%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -5.15%E -3.84%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.08%EV -10.43%E -1.33%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.33%EV -2.93%E -0.537%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.86%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.43%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.36%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -17.06%E -2.35%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.12%EV -5.78%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -9.40%E -7.34%K -33.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.92%E -2.85%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -9.33%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |