L’École des cotes

Bristol City v Walsall

2026-08-06 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bristol City (Local)

Prévision 68.09%1.47cote équitable
EV -4.67%
Avantage -3.34%
Kelly -11.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.99%68.20%67.94%71.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.331.331.4078.74%75.24%75.19%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.03%7.67cote équitable
EV +5.56%
Avantage +0.686%
Kelly +0.783%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 8.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.52%13.06%13.08%15.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.507.167.508.1018.18%13.96%13.33%12.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.88%5.30cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.438%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.74%18.73%18.98%20.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.954.805.4023.26%20.18%20.83%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV +5.56%E +0.686%K +0.783%G +0.043%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 15:05
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.76%E -6.53%K -25.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +4.25%E +0.532%K +0.608%G +0.026%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV +2.95%E +0.374%K +0.428%G +0.013%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 00:45
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV +2.95%E +0.374%K +0.428%G +0.013%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 00:44
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 19:40
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 19:40
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 19:40
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 10:20
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 10:19
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 10:18
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:04
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -13.52%E -10.65%K -50.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -2.26%E -0.302%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +1.93%E +0.356%K +0.438%G +0.008%10.6%2026-07-20 20:05
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -10.12%E -7.66%K -31.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +0.038%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 09:08
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 07:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 19:40
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.48%E -8.83%K -38.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -8.78%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 10:20
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 68.69%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.58%EV -10.99%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.73%EV -1.28%E -0.245%K -0.303%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 18:10
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.76%E -6.53%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -12.04%E -1.78%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 18:46
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -7.39%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:35
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 08:20
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.75%EV -12.16%E -9.43%K -41.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.66%EV -16.60%E -2.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -11.29%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.38%EV -19.20%E -3.10%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.59%EV -14.12%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 07:55
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.38%EV -19.20%E -3.10%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.59%EV -14.12%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 07:55
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -9.44%E -7.09%K -28.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -21.81%E -3.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -0.906%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.75%EV -10.12%E -7.66%K -31.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.96%EV -24.42%E -4.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-24 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.99%EV -11.48%E -8.83%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -28.33%E -5.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.65%EV -18.84%E -4.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-24 08:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%8.4%2026-07-25 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%8.4%2026-07-25 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%8.4%2026-07-25 14:00