Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol City v Walsall

Início: 2026-08-06 18:45 UTC

Final: Bristol City 0–1 Walsall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol City (Local)

Previsão 70.78%1.41odd justa
EV -4.44%
Vantagem -3.29%
Kelly -12.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.41%70.68%70.75%72.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.311.301.3580.00%76.40%76.92%74.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Walsall (Visitante)

Previsão 11.44%8.74odd justa
EV +8.68%
Vantagem +0.913%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.97%11.41%11.42%12.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.018.009.5014.29%12.48%12.50%10.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.78%5.62odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.404%
Kelly -0.494%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.02%17.91%17.83%20.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.175.255.5022.22%19.36%19.05%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bristol City (Local): 70.78%; Walsall (Visitante): 11.44%; Empate: 17.78%. Para Walsall (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.74. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.68%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +8.68%E +0.913%K +1.02%G +0.089%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.22%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:29
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +8.68%E +0.913%K +1.02%G +0.089%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.22%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.24%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV +5.82%E +0.629%K +0.705%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 18:40
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.25%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.27%EV +3.98%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.020%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -10.22%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.96%E +0.328%K +0.369%G +0.011%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.57%E -4.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +0.096%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -1.62%E -0.188%K -0.213%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:25
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -9.33%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -2.76%E -0.325%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -15.56%E -3.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.22%EV -6.57%E -4.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -5.62%E -0.682%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 15:04
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:36
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:36
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 18:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 18:35
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:18
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -9.40%E -7.34%K -33.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-06 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -20.00%E -4.44%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.36%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -8.48%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -18.22%E -3.96%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.75%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 11.99%EV -10.20%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.27%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.699%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.75%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 11.99%EV -10.20%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.27%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.699%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -5.15%E -3.84%K -15.15%G +0.000%7.83I 12.77%NM 12.08%EV -10.43%E -1.33%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.33%EV -2.93%E -0.537%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 18:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 18:35
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -4.44%E -3.29%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.55%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.86%EV -11.52%E -9.22%K -46.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.43%EV -11.34%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-06 18:40
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:50
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:46
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:50
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 17:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.98%E -6.14%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -14.20%E -1.89%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-06 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.36%EV -8.69%E -6.74%K -29.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -17.06%E -2.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.12%EV -5.78%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -9.40%E -7.34%K -33.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.92%E -2.85%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -9.33%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%0.7%2026-08-06 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%0.7%2026-08-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%0.7%2026-08-06 18:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%0.7%2026-08-06 18:35