Школа коэффициентов

Arsenal v Manchester City

Начало: 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arsenal (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.06%2.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.99%
Преимущество -0.855%
Kelly -1.50%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.34%42.09%42.01%43.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.222.252.3347.62%45.14%44.44%42.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Manchester City (Гости)

Прогноз 30.07%3.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.75%
Преимущество +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Рост +0.057%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.98%30.05%30.18%31.98%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.173.123.4535.71%31.54%32.05%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.86%3.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.09%
Преимущество -0.306%
Kelly -0.425%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.89%27.86%27.80%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.87%29.41%28.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 16:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.02%EV -4.94%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.20%EV +0.143%E +0.043%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 16:20
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.30%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.759%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.08%EV -3.04%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-22 16:05
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:04
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:05
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%EV -2.41%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-22 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:15
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.99%E -0.855%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%EV -2.86%E -0.887%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.24%EV -4.15%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 16:24
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 16:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -6.17%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:24
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:39
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:24
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:25
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:29
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:15
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:24
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 15:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:24
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:23
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:24
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 15:35
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:24
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.80%E -5.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.75%E -6.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.75%0.1%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-03-22 16:25