Langue:Français
Arsenal v Manchester City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arsenal (Local)
Prévision 42.06%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.855%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.34%42.09%42.01%43.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.252.3347.62%45.14%44.44%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Manchester City (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV +3.75%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.057%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.98%30.05%30.18%31.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.173.123.4535.71%31.54%32.05%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.86%3.59cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.306%
Kelly -0.425%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.89%27.86%27.80%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.87%29.41%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arsenal (Local) : 42.06% ; Manchester City (Visiteur) : 30.07% ; Match nul : 27.86%. Pour Manchester City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.33. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +3.75%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.02%EV -4.94%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.20%EV +0.143%E +0.043%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.30%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.759%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.08%EV -3.04%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%EV -2.41%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.99%E -0.855%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%EV -2.86%E -0.887%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.24%EV -4.15%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -6.17%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.80%E -5.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.75%E -6.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.98% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.75% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |