A Escola das OddsArsenal v Manchester City
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Arsenal (Local)
Previsão 42.06%2.38odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -0.855%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.34%42.09%42.01%43.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.252.3347.62%45.14%44.44%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Manchester City (Visitante)
Previsão 30.07%3.33odd justa
EV +3.75%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.057%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.98%30.05%30.18%31.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.173.123.4535.71%31.54%32.05%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 27.86%3.59odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.306%
Kelly -0.425%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.89%27.86%27.80%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.87%29.41%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.02%EV -4.94%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.20%EV +0.143%E +0.043%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.30%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.759%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.08%EV -3.04%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%EV -2.41%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.99%E -0.855%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%EV -2.86%E -0.887%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.24%EV -4.15%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -6.17%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:23 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.80%E -5.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.75%E -6.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.98% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.75% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |