La escuela de los momiosArsenal v Manchester City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arsenal (Local)
Predicción 42.06%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.855%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.09%42.01%43.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.252.3347.62%45.14%44.44%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Manchester City (Visitante)
Predicción 30.07%3.33momio equitativo
EV +3.75%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.98%30.05%30.18%31.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.123.4535.71%31.54%32.05%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.425%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.89%27.86%27.80%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.87%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.02%EV -4.94%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.20%EV +0.143%E +0.043%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.30%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.759%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.08%EV -3.04%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%EV -2.41%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.99%E -0.855%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%EV -2.86%E -0.887%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.24%EV -4.15%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -6.17%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 16:23 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.80%E -5.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.75%E -6.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.98% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.75% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 16:25 |