مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arsenal v Manchester City

البداية: 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arsenal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.06%2.38السعر العادل
EV -1.99%
الأفضلية -0.855%
Kelly -1.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.34%42.09%42.01%43.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.222.252.3347.62%45.14%44.44%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Manchester City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.07%3.33السعر العادل
EV +3.75%
الأفضلية +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.98%30.05%30.18%31.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.173.123.4535.71%31.54%32.05%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.86%3.59السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.306%
Kelly -0.425%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.89%27.86%27.80%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.87%29.41%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV +3.75%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.057%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 16:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +2.25%E +0.661%K +0.937%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:15
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV +0.745%E +0.222%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.02%EV -4.94%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.20%EV +0.143%E +0.043%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 16:20
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.30%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.759%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.08%EV -3.04%E -0.872%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-22 16:05
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:04
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.66%E -0.508%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:05
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%EV -2.41%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-22 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -2.26%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:15
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.99%E -0.855%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%EV -2.86%E -0.887%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.24%EV -4.15%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 16:24
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 16:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -6.17%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:24
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:39
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:24
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:25
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:29
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:15
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:24
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.48%E -0.708%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 15:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:24
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.72%E -4.02%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:23
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:24
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 15:35
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:24
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.80%E -5.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.75%E -6.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-22 16:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.75%0.1%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-03-22 16:25