La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Swansea City v Middlesbrough
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Swansea City (Casa)
Previsione 25.31%3.95quota equa
EV +3.02%
Vantaggio +0.742%
Kelly +0.984%
Crescita +0.030%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.83%25.28%25.29%27.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.713.704.0729.85%26.98%27.03%24.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Middlesbrough (Trasferta)
Previsione 48.69%2.05quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.83%48.69%48.69%50.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.28%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.00%3.85quota equa
EV -0.698%
Vantaggio -0.183%
Kelly -0.248%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.33%26.03%26.02%27.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.593.603.8231.25%27.82%27.78%26.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.83%EV +3.02%E +0.742%K +0.984%G +0.030% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.698%E -0.183%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.59%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 15:49 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:11 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| GTbets | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.95%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.56%EV -7.46%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 10:45 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| William Hill | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 16:19 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betsson | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -12.35%E -6.86%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.82%E -5.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -10.65%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.18%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 10:45 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |