StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swansea City v Middlesbrough

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 16:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swansea City (Heim)

Prognose 25.31%3.95faire Quote
EV +3.02%
Vorteil +0.742%
Kelly +0.984%
Wachstum +0.030%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.83%25.28%25.29%27.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.353.713.704.0729.85%26.98%27.03%24.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Middlesbrough (Auswärts)

Prognose 48.69%2.05faire Quote
EV -2.62%
Vorteil -1.31%
Kelly -2.62%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.83%48.69%48.69%50.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.28%52.36%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.00%3.85faire Quote
EV -0.698%
Vorteil -0.183%
Kelly -0.248%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.33%26.03%26.02%27.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.593.603.8231.25%27.82%27.78%26.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Swansea City (Heim): 25.31%; Middlesbrough (Auswärts): 48.69%; Unentschieden: 26.00%. Für Swansea City (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.95. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.07 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.02%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 23.83%EV +3.02%E +0.742%K +0.984%G +0.030%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.698%E -0.183%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.59%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 16:00
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 16:15
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:20
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Pinnacle🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 16:15
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:50
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 15:49
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:00
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:00
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 15:50
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 16:11
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 16:15
GTbets🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 24.95%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.56%EV -7.46%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 10:45
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 16:20
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 16:19
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:15
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:50
NordicBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:15
Betsson🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:15
Bet Right🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 16:00
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:05
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:15
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -12.35%E -6.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.82%E -5.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -10.65%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.18%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 16:04
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 10:45
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 16:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-06 16:20
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-06 16:20