L’École des cotesSwansea City v Middlesbrough
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Swansea City (Local)
Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.02%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +0.984%
Croissance +0.030%
avec la cote maximale 4.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.83%25.28%25.29%27.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.713.704.0729.85%26.98%27.03%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Middlesbrough (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.69%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.83%48.69%48.69%50.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.28%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV -0.698%
Avantage -0.183%
Kelly -0.248%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.03%26.02%27.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.593.603.8231.25%27.82%27.78%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.83%EV +3.02%E +0.742%K +0.984%G +0.030% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.698%E -0.183%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.59%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 15:49 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:11 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| GTbets | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.95%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.56%EV -7.46%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 10:45 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| William Hill | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 16:19 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betsson | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -12.35%E -6.86%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.82%E -5.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -10.65%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.18%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 10:45 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |