مدرسة الاحتمالات

Swansea City v Middlesbrough

البداية: 2026-04-06 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Swansea City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.31%3.95السعر العادل
EV +3.02%
الأفضلية +0.742%
Kelly +0.984%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.83%25.28%25.29%27.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.713.704.0729.85%26.98%27.03%24.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Middlesbrough (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.69%2.05السعر العادل
EV -2.62%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -2.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.83%48.69%48.69%50.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.28%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.00%3.85السعر العادل
EV -0.698%
الأفضلية -0.183%
Kelly -0.248%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.33%26.03%26.02%27.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.593.603.8231.25%27.82%27.78%26.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.07I 24.57%NM 23.83%EV +3.02%E +0.742%K +0.984%G +0.030%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.698%E -0.183%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 16:20
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:15
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.59%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 16:00
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 16:15
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:20
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Pinnacle3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 16:15
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:50
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 15:49
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:50
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:00
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:00
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 15:50
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 16:11
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 16:15
GTbets3.79I 26.39%NM 24.95%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.56%EV -7.46%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Marathon Bet3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 10:45
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:15
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:15
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 16:20
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 16:19
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:15
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:50
NordicBet3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:15
Betsson3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:15
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:55
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:00
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:00
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 16:00
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:05
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -12.35%E -6.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.82%E -5.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 16:20
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -10.65%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.18%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 16:04
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 10:45
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 16:05
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 16:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-06 16:20
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-06 16:20