La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Swansea City v Middlesbrough
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swansea City (Local)
Predicción 25.31%3.95momio equitativo
EV +3.02%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +0.984%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.83%25.28%25.29%27.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.713.704.0729.85%26.98%27.03%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Middlesbrough (Visitante)
Predicción 48.69%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.83%48.69%48.69%50.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.28%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV -0.698%
Ventaja -0.183%
Kelly -0.248%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.03%26.02%27.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.593.603.8231.25%27.82%27.78%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.83%EV +3.02%E +0.742%K +0.984%G +0.030% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV -0.698%E -0.183%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.59%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 15:49 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:11 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| GTbets | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.95%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.56%EV -7.46%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 10:45 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| William Hill | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 16:19 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betsson | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 16:00 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.72%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -8.88%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -12.35%E -6.86%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.82%E -5.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -10.65%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.18%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 10:45 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |