Language:English
Derby County v Cardiff City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derby County (Local)
Prediction 44.09%2.27fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%44.28%44.06%47.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.092.122.2251.81%47.87%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cardiff City (Visit)
Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV +6.80%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.168%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.57%28.32%28.45%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.303.7533.33%29.71%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.43%3.65fair odd
EV -0.971%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.372%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%27.40%27.49%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.443.6132.26%29.34%29.07%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derby County (Local): 44.09%; Cardiff City (Visit): 28.48%; Draw: 27.43%. For Cardiff City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.20%EV -10.06%E -4.93%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV +6.80%E +1.81%K +2.47%G +0.168% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.20%EV -10.06%E -4.93%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV +6.80%E +1.81%K +2.47%G +0.168% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.20%EV -10.06%E -4.93%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV +6.80%E +1.81%K +2.47%G +0.168% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -12.71%E -6.42%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV +3.95%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.059% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -13.15%E -6.67%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV +3.95%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.059% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -13.15%E -6.67%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV +3.95%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.059% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -13.15%E -6.67%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV +3.95%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.059% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -13.15%E -6.67%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV +3.95%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.059% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -13.15%E -6.67%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV +3.95%E +1.08%K +1.49%G +0.059% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.15%EV -13.59%E -6.93%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV +2.53%E +0.703%K +0.973%G +0.025% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%EV -6.09%E -2.86%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV +1.68%E +0.469%K +0.652%G +0.011% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%EV -6.09%E -2.86%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV +1.68%E +0.469%K +0.652%G +0.011% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -0.318%E -0.091%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.318%E -0.091%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -0.318%E -0.091%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -13.59%E -6.93%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -0.318%E -0.091%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -13.59%E -6.93%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -0.318%E -0.091%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -14.47%E -7.46%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -0.318%E -0.091%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -14.91%E -7.73%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -0.318%E -0.091%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -13.59%E -6.93%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -2.13%E -0.957%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -2.60%E -0.759%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -5.63%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -3.74%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.37%EV -3.89%E -1.78%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.06%EV -4.02%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.57%EV -9.20%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.21%EV -4.77%E -2.21%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -2.13%E -0.957%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -0.971%E -0.269%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.41%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.06%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.09%E -2.86%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -8.38%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.37%EV -3.89%E -1.78%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.91%EV -6.87%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.72%EV -6.46%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%EV -8.65%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 13:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.25%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 13:48 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.11%EV -12.71%E -6.42%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.59%E -4.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.13%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -12.71%E -6.42%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -14.56%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.96%E -4.83%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |