Langue:Français
Derby County v Cardiff City
Résultat du match
Derby County (Local)
Prévision 55.46%1.80cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -5.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.24%55.43%55.38%57.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.671.681.7364.10%59.72%59.52%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cardiff City (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.42%5.15cote équitable
EV -0.955%
Avantage -0.187%
Kelly -0.233%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.15%19.45%19.47%21.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.754.755.1025.00%21.05%21.05%19.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.12%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.466%
Avantage +0.116%
Kelly +0.155%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%25.13%25.14%26.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.693.724.0028.99%27.12%26.88%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Derby County (Local) : 55.46% ; Cardiff City (Visiteur) : 19.42% ; Match nul : 25.12%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.98. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.00, pour une espérance positive de +0.466%.
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.466%E +0.116%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 11:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.77%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -4.84%E -0.988%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -15.91%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.67%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.19%EV -11.81%E -7.43%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -11.34%E -3.21%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:12 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.28%EV -13.48%E -8.64%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -22.32%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.55%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16% | 13.6% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 38.45% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 27.10% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 34.45% | 51.2% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
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