La scuola delle quoteodds.school
Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
+ Nuovo modelloTutti i modelli

Derby County v Cardiff City

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — Championship

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Derby County (Casa)

Previsione 55.46%1.80quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -2.34%
Kelly -5.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.24%55.43%55.38%57.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.671.681.7364.10%59.72%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cardiff City (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.42%5.15quota equa
EV -0.955%
Vantaggio -0.187%
Kelly -0.233%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.15%19.45%19.47%21.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.754.755.1025.00%21.05%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.12%3.98quota equa
EV +0.466%
Vantaggio +0.116%
Kelly +0.155%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.84%25.13%25.14%26.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.693.724.0028.99%27.12%26.88%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Derby County (Casa): 55.46%; Cardiff City (Trasferta): 19.42%; Pareggio: 25.12%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.98. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.466%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.466%E +0.116%K +0.155%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-15 11:18
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.77%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -4.84%E -0.988%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 12:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -15.91%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:04
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:40
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 12:00
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:59
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:24
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 11:20
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:59
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:34
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 12:04
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.67%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:43
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.19%EV -11.81%E -7.43%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -11.34%E -3.21%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 11:59
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 12:14
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 12:12
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 12:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.28%EV -13.48%E -8.64%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -22.32%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.55%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000%18.1%2026-08-15 11:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%13.6%2026-08-15 14:15
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 38.43%2.44I 40.98%NM 26.30%1.82I 54.95%NM 35.26%55.8%2026-08-15 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 12:00

Discutere questa partita su odds.forum

La discussione del forum è mostrata in inglese.

Non vi sono ancora commenti pubblicati.