Idioma:Español
Derby County v Cardiff City
Resultado del partido
Derby County (Local)
Predicción 55.46%1.80momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -5.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.24%55.43%55.38%57.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.671.681.7364.10%59.72%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cardiff City (Visitante)
Predicción 19.42%5.15momio equitativo
EV -0.955%
Ventaja -0.187%
Kelly -0.233%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.15%19.45%19.47%21.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.754.755.1025.00%21.05%21.05%19.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.12%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.466%
Ventaja +0.116%
Kelly +0.155%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%25.13%25.14%26.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.693.724.0028.99%27.12%26.88%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Derby County (Local): 55.46%; Cardiff City (Visitante): 19.42%; Empate: 25.12%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.98. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.466%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.466%E +0.116%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 11:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.77%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -4.84%E -0.988%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -15.91%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.67%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.19%EV -11.81%E -7.43%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -11.34%E -3.21%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:12 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.28%EV -13.48%E -8.64%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -22.32%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.55%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16% | 13.6% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 38.45% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 27.10% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 34.45% | 51.2% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
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