语言:简体中文
Derby County v Cardiff City
胜负盘
Derby County (主队)
预测 55.46%1.80公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -2.34%
Kelly -5.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.73
博彩公司预测分布
54.24%55.43%55.38%57.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.671.681.7364.10%59.72%59.52%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cardiff City (客队)
预测 19.42%5.15公平赔率
EV -0.955%
优势 -0.187%
Kelly -0.233%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.10
博彩公司预测分布
18.15%19.45%19.47%21.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.754.755.1025.00%21.05%21.05%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.12%3.98公平赔率
EV +0.466%
优势 +0.116%
Kelly +0.155%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.84%25.13%25.14%26.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.693.724.0028.99%27.12%26.88%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Derby County (主队)：55.46%；Cardiff City (客队)：19.42%；平局：25.12%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.98。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.00，由此产生+0.466%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.466%E +0.116%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 11:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.77%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -4.84%E -0.988%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.30%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -0.955%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -15.91%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.56%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.90%E -0.579%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.61%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -4.64%E -0.946%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.11%EV -9.08%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.67%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.19%EV -11.81%E -7.43%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -11.34%E -3.21%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:12 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.28%EV -13.48%E -8.64%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -22.32%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.55%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16% | 13.6% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 38.45% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 27.10% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 34.45% | 51.2% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
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