Santos v UCV FC

2026-07-29 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

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Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

76%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Santos (Local)

Prediction 75.92%1.32fair odd

EV -5.85%

Edge -4.72%

Kelly -24.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.68%75.90%75.92%79.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.181.211.221.2485%82%82%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

UCV FC (Visit)

Prediction 8.42%11.88fair odd

EV +22.10%

Edge +1.52%

Kelly +1.64%

Growth +0.362%

assuming max odds 14.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.75%8.42%8.42%11.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

7.5010.7511.0014.5013%9%9%7%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 15.65%6.39fair odd

EV +12.09%

Edge +1.69%

Kelly +1.96%

Growth +0.237%

assuming max odds 7.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.67%15.67%15.65%17.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.205.926.007.1619%17%17%14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.23I 81.30%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.38%K -28.75%G +0.000%	14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75%EV +22.10%E +1.52%K +1.64%G +0.362%	7.16I 13.97%NM 13.67%EV +12.09%E +1.69%K +1.96%G +0.237%	2.2%	2026-07-22 16:59
888sport	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.89%E -7.41%K -44.45%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.05%E +0.087%K +0.095%G +0.001%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-22 17:04
William Hill	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.89%E -7.41%K -44.45%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.05%E +0.087%K +0.095%G +0.001%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-22 17:04
888sport (SE)	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.89%E -7.41%K -44.45%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.05%E +0.087%K +0.095%G +0.001%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-22 17:04
Mr Green (SE)	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.89%E -7.41%K -44.45%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.05%E +0.087%K +0.095%G +0.001%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-22 17:04
Codere (IT)	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.51%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-22 16:59
NordicBet	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -5.85%E -4.72%K -24.39%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-22 19:09
Unibet (UK)	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.51%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -7.37%E -0.670%K -0.737%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.16%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.51%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -11.58%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%	6.20I 16.13%NM 14.99%EV -2.94%E -0.474%K -0.565%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 16:59
Pinnacle	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.03%EV -6.61%E -5.38%K -28.75%G +0.000%	10.06I 9.94%NM 9.17%EV -15.29%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%	5.84I 17.12%NM 15.80%EV -8.58%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-22 16:59
SportsBet	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.51%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.42%EV -17.90%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-22 14:19
betfred_uk	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.51%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -20.00%E -2.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-22 14:18
Paddy Power	1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.89%E -7.41%K -44.45%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -20.00%E -2.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-22 14:19
Unibet (FR)	1.18I 84.75%NM 73.64%EV -10.41%E -8.82%K -57.83%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -24.21%E -2.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 16.71%EV -18.59%E -3.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-07-22 17:00
Sky Bet	1.22I 81.97%NM 71.68%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.51%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -36.84%E -4.91%K -5.67%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 16.66%EV -17.81%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-07-22 14:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.